Dungannon Swifts 0-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.42
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
8%
9.72
X/2
23%
4.01
X/X
15%
5.43
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.17
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.98/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.37
-17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
27.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
16.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
09.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
24.03.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-5 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC nicked a narrow win over Dungannon Swifts 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 3.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Dungannon Swifts 0-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 23%, draw 26%, Linfield FC 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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