Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamrun Spartans v Mosta — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Mosta
MLTP
1-2
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
2-1
HT 1-0
Mosta
MLTP
2-1
HT 1-1
Mosta
MLTP
Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Mosta — Actual Match Statistics
Mosta squeezed past Hamrun Spartans 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 48% of the ball to Mosta's 52%, shots finished 6-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.83 for Mosta.
What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 48%, draw 25%, Mosta 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) went the other way.