Bayern München (K) 3-0 Valerenga (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
3.46
Over
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
20%
8.08
2-3
36%
2.34
4-5
28%
2.3
6+
16%
3.79
Value flag · 0-1 at 8.08 — our 20% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern München (K) win — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
82%
-8.2pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.7pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.25/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.21
-21% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
18.4 Crosses 6.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Valerenga (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.49 xG 0.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
634 Passes 226
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2024 Valerenga (K) Valerenga (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ŞMP-K
12.11.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Valerenga (K) Valerenga (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
3-0
AWAY Valerenga (K)
3.80 xG 0.11
78% Ball Possession 22%
25 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
653 Passes 141
90% Pass Accuracy 68%
53 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Valerenga (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) ran out comfortable winners over Valerenga (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 78% of the ball to Valerenga (K)'s 22%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 3.80 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.50 for Valerenga (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Bayern München (K) 3-0 Valerenga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 74%, draw 13%, Valerenga (K) 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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