OH Leuven (K) 0-3 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
12%
7.13
Away Pick
70%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.96
Over
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.67
2-3
40%
2.16
4-5
26%
2.39
6+
15%
4.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.67 — our 19% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
52%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal (K) win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.0pp
12%
Draw
10%
+1.9pp
70%
Away Win
84%
-15.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
+76% / +76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.17/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/0.83
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 495 · 85%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.2
10.0 Crosses 22.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven (K)
0-3
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.54 xG 1.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 5
327 Passes 538
83% Pass Accuracy 92%
10 Box Touches 45
8 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH OH Leuven (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) cruised past OH Leuven (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, OH Leuven (K) had 40% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 60%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.54 to 1.86.

What was the final score of OH Leuven (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

OH Leuven (K) 0-3 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven (K) 18%, draw 12%, Arsenal (K) 70%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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