SL Benfica (K) 1-1 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.07
Over
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.77
2-3
34%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.04
6+
10%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.13
-40% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +121%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
16.5 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SL Benfica (K)
1-1
AWAY PSG (K)
1.49 xG 2.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
289 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SL Benfica (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SL Benfica (K) and PSG (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SL Benfica (K) had 51% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 49%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.49 to 2.87.

What was the final score of SL Benfica (K) vs PSG (K)?

SL Benfica (K) 1-1 PSG (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SL Benfica (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a SL Benfica (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SL Benfica (K) 37%, draw 26%, PSG (K) 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SL Benfica (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SL Benfica (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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