AAli FC 4-1 Buri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

AAli FC
4-1 HT 3-0
Buri
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Buri EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs Buri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC swept aside Buri 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AAli FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs Buri?

AAli FC 4-1 Buri in the Bahrain - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs Buri?

Before kick-off our model rated a AAli FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 48%, draw 23%, Buri 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AAli FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AAli FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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