Budaiya 2-2 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

Budaiya
2-2 HT 1-0
Al Riffa
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Cup – 2023/2024

Budaiya vs Al Riffa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
44%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.19
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 29% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
15%
+15.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
44%
Away Win
64%
-20.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Budaiya v Al Riffa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budaiya EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -62%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Budaiya vs Al Riffa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budaiya
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2022 Budaiya Budaiya 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
21.01.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 1-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
05.01.2022 Budaiya Budaiya 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.04.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
05.02.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH

Budaiya 2-2 Al Riffa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budaiya
2-2
AWAY Al Riffa
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Budaiya vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budaiya and Al Riffa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budaiya had 37% of the ball to Al Riffa's 63%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Budaiya and 2.20 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Budaiya vs Al Riffa?

Budaiya 2-2 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budaiya vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Budaiya 31%, draw 25%, Al Riffa 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAHK More Bahrain - Cup
18 Jan 2024
19:00 AAli FC vs Buri Analysis →
19:00 Al Ahli Manama vs Isa Town Analysis →
19:00 Al Hala Muharraq vs Manama Analysis →