Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Isa Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
6%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Isa Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-46% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1-2
AWAY Isa Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Isa Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isa Town edged past Al Ahli Manama 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Manama at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 51% of the ball to Isa Town's 49%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Isa Town?

Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Isa Town in the Bahrain - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Isa Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 41%, draw 29%, Isa Town 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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