Clermont 1-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Jan 2025

Clermont
1-1 HT 0-0
Stade Lavallois
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Clermont vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 34% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.59
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
12%
7.96
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
8%
6.76
2/X
8%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.52/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
-16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.7 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Clermont vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
14.08.2018 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FRLK
03.03.2017 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
30.09.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
29.04.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
11.12.2015 Clermont Clermont 4-1 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2

Clermont 1-1 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.75 xG 1.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
448 Passes 240
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Stade Lavallois couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Clermont had 62% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 38%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.75 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Clermont and 0.83 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Stade Lavallois?

Clermont 1-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Clermont 45%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Clermont), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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