Metz 3-1 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Jan 2025

Metz
3-1 HT 1-1
Paris FC
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Metz vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.2
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.07
X/2
12%
6.66
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
10%
4.92
2/X
11%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metz v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.05
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.7 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Metz vs Paris FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Paris FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 0.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 389
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Metz Metz FR2
29.04.2023 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
12.11.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Metz Metz FR2
22.02.2019 Metz Metz 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
22.09.2018 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Metz Metz FR2
18.03.2016 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2

Metz 3-1 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
3-1
AWAY Paris FC
1.07 xG 0.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 447
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metz vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz got the better of Paris FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Metz had 40% of the ball to Paris FC's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Metz and 1.00 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Metz vs Paris FC?

Metz 3-1 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Metz 43%, draw 28%, Paris FC 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5
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