Aubagne 2-0 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Jan 2025

Aubagne
2-0 HT 1-0
Nimes
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Aubagne vs Nimes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.15
X/1
20%
5.01
X/2
13%
6.34
X/X
10%
4.2
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.72
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aubagne v Nimes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Aubagne vs Nimes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nimes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
27.11.2021 Aubagne Aubagne 2-2 HT 2-2 Nimes Nimes FRK

Aubagne 2-0 Nimes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
2-0
AWAY Nimes
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne beat Nimes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Aubagne made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Aubagne had 49% of the ball to Nimes's 51%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Nimes?

Aubagne 2-0 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 38%, draw 28%, Nimes 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubagne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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