Nancy 1-2 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.33
X/X
17%
4.62
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
7%
8.15
2/X
5%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.62/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.51
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 6-1 HT 5-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
14.08.2021 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
01.05.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-3 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
05.01.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-3 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
10.01.2020 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
02.08.2019 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-2
AWAY Valenciennes
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes edged past Nancy 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nancy at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nancy had 58% of the ball to Valenciennes's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nancy and 2.17 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Valenciennes?

Nancy 1-2 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nancy 49%, draw 30%, Valenciennes 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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