Le Mans FC 3-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Jan 2025

Le Mans FC
3-1 HT 1-0
Concarneau
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Le Mans FC vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
11%
4.94
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.32
X/X
10%
4.17
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.76
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · X/2 at 6.32 — our 19% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+10.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Mans FC v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
0.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.53
-27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Le Mans FC vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.02.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
26.08.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
07.03.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
24.09.2021 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
19.03.2021 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
13.10.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 3-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3

Le Mans FC 3-1 Concarneau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
3-1
AWAY Concarneau
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC beat Concarneau 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Concarneau at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 53% of the ball to Concarneau's 47%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Concarneau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.50 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Concarneau?

Le Mans FC 3-1 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 34%, draw 25%, Concarneau 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ BTTS No
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