Montpellier (K) 1-3 Le Havre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.53/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.67
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -50%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.7 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Le Havre (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 2.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.10.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 0-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
17.03.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 3-3 HT 0-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
15.12.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-3
AWAY Le Havre (K)
0.88 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Le Havre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) got the better of Montpellier (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 62% of the ball to Le Havre (K)'s 38%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.88 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montpellier (K) and 1.33 for Le Havre (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-3 Le Havre (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 46%, draw 28%, Le Havre (K) 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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