Eastern 1-1 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.7pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.48
-1% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kitchee
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.05.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HONFK
01.05.2024 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
06.04.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
11.02.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HONSS
26.11.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 3-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
23.10.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern and Kitchee shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eastern and 1.17 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Kitchee?

Eastern 1-1 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eastern 36%, draw 26%, Kitchee 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kitchee), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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