Homeboyz 1-0 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

Homeboyz
1-0 HT 1-0
Bidco United
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Homeboyz vs Bidco United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.1pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Homeboyz v Bidco United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.13/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/0.62
+3% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Homeboyz vs Bidco United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bidco United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-0 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
27.02.2022 Homeboyz Homeboyz 3-1 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
11.12.2021 Bidco United Bidco United 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz nicked a narrow win over Bidco United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Homeboyz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Homeboyz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Homeboyz and 0.33 for Bidco United.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Bidco United?

Homeboyz 1-0 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 41%, draw 34%, Bidco United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homeboyz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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