Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
19%
2.66
Away
38%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
3.05
No
74%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
8%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
19%
Draw
34%
-14.8pp
38%
Away Win
20%
+17.7pp
26%
BTTS Yes
29%
-2.6pp
74%
BTTS No
71%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 23%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.15/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.38
+101% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
07.10.2023 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
04.01.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0-1
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars nicked a narrow win over Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Ulinzi Stars made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (74%) came in.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 54% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 46%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.50 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars?

Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 43%, draw 19%, Ulinzi Stars 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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