Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 18 Jan 2026

Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Perth Glory (K)
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.07
Over 2.5
64%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.73
No
37%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
56%
+8.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
54%
+9.5pp
37%
BTTS No
46%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
2.36/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.68
+60% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
13.4 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.41 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.03.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-3 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
27.12.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
18.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
2.04 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
279 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) and Perth Glory (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Central Coast Mariners (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 48% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.04 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 1.50 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 52%, draw 22%, Perth Glory (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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