St. Truidense 1-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Jan 2026

St. Truidense
1-0 HT 1-0
OH Leuven
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.6
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
8%
9.16
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
6%
23.55
2/2
10%
7.15
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 12% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.66/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.44
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.1 Crosses 15.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

St. Truidense vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
443 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 1-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
16.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
15.09.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
20.04.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense squeezed past OH Leuven 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Truidense and 1.33 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs OH Leuven?

St. Truidense 1-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 48%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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