Sporting Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.46
X/2
9%
7.86
X/X
11%
4.17
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
6.51
2/X
10%
15.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.46 — our 25% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.46
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.0 Crosses 14.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
04.05.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
30.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
20.10.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2-0
AWAY Standard Liege
1.38 xG 1.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
276 Passes 421
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
36 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi saw off Standard Liege 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 40% of the ball to Standard Liege's 60%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.38 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.00 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege?

Sporting Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 46%, draw 26%, Standard Liege 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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