Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
20%
4.44
X/2
11%
8.98
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
9%
7.69
2/X
10%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.74/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.58
-26% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.8 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Standard Liege
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
13.08.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
14.04.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.03.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-1
AWAY Standard Liege
1.99 xG 1.08
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
549 Passes 160
84% Pass Accuracy 59%
26 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and Standard Liege couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 71% of the ball to Standard Liege's 29%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.99 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege?

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 45%, draw 30%, Standard Liege 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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