Club Brugge 4-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
15%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.5
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
23%
3.81
X/2
5%
30.0
X/X
9%
10.6
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
5%
23.85
2/X
5%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-9.6pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.5pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +23%
2.53/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.72
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.5 Crosses 10.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Dender EH
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.09 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
552 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
07.02.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.09.2008 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
22.03.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
20.10.2007 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
4-1
AWAY Dender EH
2.92 xG 0.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
729 Passes 348
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge cruised past Dender EH 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 64% of the ball to Dender EH's 36%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.92 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Club Brugge and 0.60 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Dender EH?

Club Brugge 4-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 68%, draw 18%, Dender EH 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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