Standard Liege 2-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.28
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
12%
5.66
X/2
12%
4.97
X/X
13%
4.07
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
3.58
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.38/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.34
-25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
20.0 Crosses 21.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
328 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
13.08.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
14.04.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.03.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.12.2021 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
2-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.64 xG 1.05
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
185 Passes 465
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 33% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 67%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.64 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Standard Liege and 0.83 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi?

Standard Liege 2-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 29%, draw 28%, Sporting Charleroi 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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