Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
22%
4.0
X/2
8%
9.65
X/X
11%
5.69
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
9%
7.1
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.89/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.36
+13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.7 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 350
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
26.11.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-3 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
21.01.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
11.01.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEK
10.09.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-4 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
02.04.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
3-0
AWAY Kortrijk
1.73 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
477 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen ran out comfortable winners over Kortrijk 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mechelen had 61% of the ball to Kortrijk's 39%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.73 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Mechelen and 0.83 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Kortrijk?

Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 54%, draw 22%, Kortrijk 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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