Standard Liege 0-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.92
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
12%
7.79
X/2
20%
4.7
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
2.7
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.28/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.09
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
17.2 Crosses 23.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
275 Passes 414
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
30.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
20.10.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
13.08.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
14.04.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
0-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.20 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi edged past Standard Liege 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Standard Liege had 52% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 48%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.20 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Standard Liege and 0.83 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi?

Standard Liege 0-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 27%, draw 31%, Sporting Charleroi 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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