St. Truidense 2-1 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 May 2025

St. Truidense
2-1 HT 1-0
Beerschot VA
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.69
2-3 Goals
36%
2.18
4-5 Goals
29%
2.45
6+ Goals
15%
4.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.64
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.9
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
8%
15.0
X/X
9%
8.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.15
2/2
8%
10.8
2/X
5%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.15 — our 10% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.75/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.27
-21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.8 Crosses 15.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

St. Truidense vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.03 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 389
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
07.03.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
21.09.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
20.03.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-2 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.09.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
30.12.2020 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense edged past Beerschot VA 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Truidense and 0.33 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Beerschot VA?

St. Truidense 2-1 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 58%, draw 21%, Beerschot VA 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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