Beerschot VA 0-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.2
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
7.05
X/2
14%
5.23
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
2.99
2/X
9%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.30/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.01
-22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.9 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.43 xG 1.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
383 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
21.09.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
20.03.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-2 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.09.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
30.12.2020 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
17.10.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 6-3 HT 5-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense edged past Beerschot VA 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day St. Truidense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beerschot VA and 2.17 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense?

Beerschot VA 0-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 36%, draw 27%, St. Truidense 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ BTTS Yes
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