Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.82
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
22%
3.97
X/2
6%
12.9
X/X
7%
6.15
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
10%
10.8
2/X
6%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
2.17/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.69
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.2 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
243 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
01.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
15.09.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
09.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
28.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 HT 2-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
25.04.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-3 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
5-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
2.42 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 411
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise cruised past Royal Antwerp 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 49% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 51%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.42 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.50 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Royal Antwerp?

Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 59%, draw 19%, Royal Antwerp 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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