Standard Liege 2-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
3.92
6+ Goals
7%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.97
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
18%
5.75
X/2
13%
5.68
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.91
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.37/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.33
-25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.1 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Mechelen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 500
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
09.08.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
25.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
20.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
2-2
AWAY Mechelen
1.61 xG 1.78
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
210 Passes 548
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege and Mechelen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Standard Liege had 32% of the ball to Mechelen's 68%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.61 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Standard Liege and 1.17 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Mechelen?

Standard Liege 2-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 36%, draw 29%, Mechelen 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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