Gent 4-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
12%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.32
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
15%
6.06
X/2
12%
5.36
X/X
10%
4.36
2/1 EV+ ✓
7%
32.5
2/2
22%
3.57
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.35/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.43
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
20.2 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.75 xG 1.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
277 Passes 439
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2026 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEK
23.09.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
27.04.2025 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.04.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 5-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
02.02.2025 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.11.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
4-2
AWAY Anderlecht
3.48 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
337 Passes 307
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gent vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent beat Anderlecht 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gent found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gent had 52% of the ball to Anderlecht's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.48 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Gent and 2.33 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Gent vs Anderlecht?

Gent 4-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gent 36%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 40%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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