Anderlecht 5-0 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.52
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.58
X/2
7%
8.35
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
8%
6.39
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.83/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.72
+27% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.2 Crosses 13.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.11.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
04.02.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
12.11.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.03.2023 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.09.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
5-0
AWAY Gent
2.26 xG 0.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
479 Passes 305
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht cruised past Gent 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 58% of the ball to Gent's 42%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 2.26 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Anderlecht and 0.67 for Gent.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Gent?

Anderlecht 5-0 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 48%, draw 26%, Gent 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht)
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