Gent 1-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
18%
4.81
X/2
12%
6.98
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.21
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.39
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.5 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 368
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
04.02.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
12.11.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.03.2023 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.09.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
18.04.2022 Gent Gent 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-0
AWAY Anderlecht
0.85 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
334 Passes 410
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gent vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent edged past Anderlecht 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Gent made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Gent had 45% of the ball to Anderlecht's 55%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.85 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gent and 1.33 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Gent vs Anderlecht?

Gent 1-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gent 39%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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