Kortrijk 1-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Feb 2025

Kortrijk
1-2 HT 1-0
Westerlo
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Kortrijk vs Westerlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.51
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
23.4
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
12%
6.9
X/2
12%
5.33
X/X
8%
5.04
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
19%
3.01
2/X
7%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Westerlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.42/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.88
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
18.0 Crosses 25.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kortrijk vs Westerlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Westerlo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.88 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
339 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 4-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
08.12.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.10.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
11.03.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
22.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
26.12.2016 Westerlo Westerlo 4-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 1-2 Westerlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-2
AWAY Westerlo
1.21 xG 1.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo edged past Kortrijk 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Westerlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kortrijk had 45% of the ball to Westerlo's 55%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.21 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kortrijk and 2.67 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Westerlo?

Kortrijk 1-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 37%, draw 22%, Westerlo 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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