Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Feb 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise
2-1 HT 0-0
St. Truidense
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Union Saint-Gilloise vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.25
X/1
21%
3.98
X/2
8%
15.1
X/X
8%
7.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.45
2/2
7%
12.15
2/X
10%
19.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -19%
2.08/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.87
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.0 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Union Saint-Gilloise vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
373 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
21.01.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
08.10.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-4 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
02.04.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
23.07.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
13.02.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise nicked a narrow win over St. Truidense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs St. Truidense?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 58%, draw 23%, St. Truidense 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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