Royal Antwerp 1-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.36
1/2
6%
23.3
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
13%
6.78
X/2
14%
5.41
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.08
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 46%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.28/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.24
+22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
14.8 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Genk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 2.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
351 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 2-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.11.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
20.05.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.04.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2023 Genk Genk 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
04.11.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-2 HT 3-1 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-1
AWAY Genk
2.14 xG 1.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 418
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and Genk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 41% of the ball to Genk's 59%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.14 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Royal Antwerp 1-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 35%, draw 24%, Genk 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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