Royal Antwerp 2-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Dec 2024

Royal Antwerp
2-2 HT 2-1
Genk
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Royal Antwerp vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.44
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.3
X/2
12%
5.97
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
19%
4.07
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.25
Value flag · 2/X at 13.25 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.61/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.49
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
18.4 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Royal Antwerp vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Genk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
20.05.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.04.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2023 Genk Genk 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
04.11.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-2 HT 3-1 Genk Genk BEL
04.06.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL

Royal Antwerp 2-2 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
2-2
AWAY Genk
1.29 xG 3.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 9
313 Passes 396
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and Genk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 45% of the ball to Genk's 55%, shots finished 9-29, expected goals 1.29 to 3.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Royal Antwerp 2-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 36%, draw 27%, Genk 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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