Club Brugge 4-3 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.12
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
30%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.65
X/1
22%
3.74
X/2
5%
17.85
X/X
7%
8.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.95
2/2
8%
12.25
2/X
8%
20.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.45/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.41
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
36.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.2 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.79 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
499 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
20.01.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
06.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
08.10.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.02.2017 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
4-3
AWAY Westerlo
2.03 xG 1.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 8
549 Passes 296
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge squeezed past Westerlo 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 62% of the ball to Westerlo's 38%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.03 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge and 0.67 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Westerlo?

Club Brugge 4-3 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 60%, draw 22%, Westerlo 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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