Kortrijk 0-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.9
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
10%
7.62
X/2
14%
4.29
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.65
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.37/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.98
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.2 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 397
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
11.05.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
14.04.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
03.02.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.09.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
04.03.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
0-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.38 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 10
295 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 31
31 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi nicked a narrow win over Kortrijk 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 50% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 50%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.38 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kortrijk and 1.33 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?

Kortrijk 0-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 33%, draw 22%, Sporting Charleroi 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ BTTS Yes
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