Gent 0-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.73
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
12%
6.95
X/2
17%
5.34
X/X
10%
4.73
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.12
2/X
8%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.37/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.31
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.6 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.56 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 369
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 5-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
02.02.2025 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.11.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
04.02.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
12.11.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.03.2023 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
0-1
AWAY Anderlecht
1.51 xG 1.68
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
177 Passes 443
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht squeezed past Gent 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Anderlecht made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gent had 33% of the ball to Anderlecht's 67%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.51 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gent and 2.17 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Gent vs Anderlecht?

Gent 0-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gent 35%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ BTTS Yes
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