Genk 0-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.9
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
22%
4.22
X/2
6%
11.5
X/X
8%
6.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.7
2/2
6%
8.57
2/X
9%
17.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
2.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.74
+8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.5 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.87 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
392 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 2-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.11.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
20.05.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.04.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2023 Genk Genk 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
0-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.87 xG 1.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
452 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp squeezed past Genk 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Genk carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 59% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.87 to 1.39 — on chances, Genk could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genk and 0.50 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Genk vs Royal Antwerp?

Genk 0-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Genk 58%, draw 25%, Royal Antwerp 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
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