Standard Liege 3-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.41
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.19
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✓
22%
5.76
X/2
6%
5.47
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.87
2/X
5%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 5.76 — our 22% vs market 13.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.35
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.7 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
277 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
30.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
20.10.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
13.08.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
3-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.37 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege beat Sporting Charleroi 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Standard Liege as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Standard Liege had 42% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 58%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.37 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Standard Liege and 0.83 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi?

Standard Liege 3-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 41%, draw 28%, Sporting Charleroi 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Standard Liege) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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