AE Larissa 1-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Jan 2026

AE Larissa
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Aris Saloniki
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

AE Larissa vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.52
Over
37%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.22
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
15%
5.05
6+
3%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.5
1/2
3%
32.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
8%
7.56
X/2
17%
4.48
X/X
21%
3.74
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.91
2/X
5%
14.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

AE Larissa v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AE Larissa The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
Bad Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
13 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3

AE Larissa vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
234 Passes 332
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
26.01.2021 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
02.12.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-3 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
11.01.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
28.09.2019 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-3 HT 2-2 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
20.01.2019 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN

AE Larissa 1-0 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1 - 0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.63 xG 0.55
26% Ball Possession 74%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
110 Passes 418
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW AE Larissa vs Aris Saloniki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AE Larissa edged past Aris Saloniki 1-0.

We leaned Aris Saloniki at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Aris Saloniki saw more of the ball, 74% to 26%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.63 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for AE Larissa against 1.33 for Aris Saloniki.

AE Larissa vs Aris Saloniki Result & Final Score

AE Larissa 1 - 0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AE Larissa vs Aris Saloniki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 24%, draw 31%, Aris Saloniki 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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18 Jan 2026
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