AEK Atina 4-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.59
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.18
6+
4%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.6
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.34
X/2
9%
8.15
X/X
18%
4.3
2/1
3%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.84
2/X
5%
15.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AEK Atina The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos The Market 27%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.55 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
332 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
04.05.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
19.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
29.09.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
24.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
4 - 0
AWAY Panathinaikos
2.27 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
323 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AEK Atina made light work of Panathinaikos 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Panathinaikos saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.27 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for AEK Atina against 1.33 for Panathinaikos.

AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Result & Final Score

AEK Atina 4 - 0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 50%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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