AEK Atina 2-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
22%
4.54
X/2
11%
7.96
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
9%
5.8
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +26%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.01
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.3 Crosses 11.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.70 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
334 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
14.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
25.09.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
30.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
19.03.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-0
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.18 xG 0.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
231 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina got the better of Panathinaikos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 45% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.18 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AEK Atina and 0.83 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos?

AEK Atina 2-0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 46%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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