OFI 1-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.44
X/2
10%
6.94
X/X
15%
4.14
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.45
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.30/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.12
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.7 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
453 Passes 305
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 OFI OFI 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
11.05.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
31.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUK
23.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
20.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
27.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.37 xG 0.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
357 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos squeezed past OFI 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 52% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 48%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.37 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for OFI and 1.50 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panaitolikos?

OFI 1-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split OFI 42%, draw 30%, Panaitolikos 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
29 Sep 2024
18:00 Olympiakos vs Atromitos Analysis →
20:30 PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →
21:30 AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Analysis →