Olympiakos 2-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.9
X/1
23%
3.64
X/2
9%
12.45
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
5%
10.1
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.55/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.34
+28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
21.2 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atromitos
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.95 xG 0.41
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
495 Passes 240
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
27.08.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
22.01.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
11.01.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 2-2 HT 1-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
15.12.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
02.10.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-0
AWAY Atromitos
2.07 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos beat Atromitos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Olympiakos had 52% of the ball to Atromitos's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.07 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Olympiakos and 0.67 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Atromitos?

Olympiakos 2-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 57%, draw 24%, Atromitos 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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