PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PAOK v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals
PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aris Saloniki
YUN
3-2
HT 0-1
Aris Saloniki
YUN
1-2
HT 1-0
PAOK
YUN
PAOK 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics
Aris Saloniki nicked a narrow win over PAOK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was PAOK at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, PAOK had 59% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.61 to 0.40 — on chances, PAOK could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PAOK and 1.17 for Aris Saloniki.
What was the final score of PAOK vs Aris Saloniki?
PAOK 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PAOK vs Aris Saloniki?
Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PAOK 52%, draw 22%, Aris Saloniki 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.