PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities
PAOK v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals
PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
PAOK 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics
Aris Saloniki nicked a narrow win over PAOK 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our model won't enjoy this one — PAOK at 65% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 49%. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in PAOK's favour, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.61 to 0.40 — by the quality of chances, PAOK deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for PAOK against 1.17 for Aris Saloniki.
PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Result & Final Score
PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
PAOK vs Aris Saloniki Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split PAOK 65%, draw 20%, Aris Saloniki 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 went the other way.