Panathinaikos 1-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 Jan 2025

Panathinaikos
1-0 HT 1-0
AEK Atina
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.43
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.96
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
14%
3.96
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.6
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panathinaikos v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.17/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.87
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
14.4 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.54 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
281 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
24.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
14.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
25.09.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
30.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

Panathinaikos 1-0 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-0
AWAY AEK Atina
1.05 xG 0.78
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
140 Passes 490
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos squeezed past AEK Atina 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Panathinaikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 27% of the ball to AEK Atina's 73%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 1.05 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.67 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina?

Panathinaikos 1-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 35%, draw 29%, AEK Atina 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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