Aris Saloniki 0-0 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
6.46
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
6%
8.16
X/2
11%
4.54
X/X
14%
4.32
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.59
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.73
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
14.9 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY PAOK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
235 Passes 369
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
19.05.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
10.03.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
07.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
17.09.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
0-0
AWAY PAOK
0.64 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
361 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and PAOK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 49% of the ball to PAOK's 51%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.64 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.00 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs PAOK?

Aris Saloniki 0-0 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 32%, draw 29%, PAOK 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PAOK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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