Panathinaikos 3-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.34
6+ Goals
7%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.5
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
16%
6.05
X/2
13%
5.32
X/X
14%
3.97
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.68
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.16/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.87
+20% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
13.7 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.67 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
262 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
29.09.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
24.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
14.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
25.09.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
3-1
AWAY AEK Atina
2.07 xG 2.14
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 14
137 Passes 287
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of AEK Atina 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Panathinaikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 36% of the ball to AEK Atina's 64%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 2.07 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.67 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina?

Panathinaikos 3-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 38%, draw 28%, AEK Atina 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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